Perceived Temperature, Trust and Civil Unrest in Africa
This paper documents a significant effect of short-term temperature fluctuations on attitudes towards institutions and on civil unrest in Africa. Combining attitudinal survey and climate […]
Police Repression and Protest Behavior: Evidence from Student Protests in Chile
Mounu Prem, Felipe González
Police repression is a common feature of street protests around the world but evidence about its impact on dissident behavior is limited. We provide an […]
CSI in the tropics. Experimental evidence of improved public service delivery through coordination
Leopoldo Fergusson, Daniela Collazos, Miguel La Rota, Daniel Mejía, Daniel Ortega
This paper evaluates the impacts of increased coordination, accountability, and lead- ership among teams of responsible public officials, with evidence from homicide inves- tigations in […]
Welfare Impact of Hosting Refugees in Ethiopia
This paper examines the welfare impact of hosting refugees in Ethiopia, one of the largest refugee-hosting countries worldwide. The findings reveal different implications depending on […]
Conflict exposure and health: Evidence from the Gaza Strip
Michele Di Maio, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza
Using individual-level longitudinal data and geo-localized information on conflict-related violent events, we study the impact of conflict on health in the Gaza Strip. Results show […]
Commodity Booms, Conflict, and Organized Crime The Economics of Oil Palm Mafia Violence in Indonesia
Paul Kenny, Rashesh Shrestha Edward Aspinall
This paper examines the relationships between agrarian commodity booms and the incidence of group conflict and criminality in the context of Indonesia’s expanding oil palm […]
Yes They Can: Genocide, Political Participation, and Female Empowerment
Thorsten Rogall, Tatiana Zárate-Barrera
We study how genocide can lead to female empowerment, using data from Rwanda. We exploit exogenous variation in transport costs that affected the number of […]
The Peace Baby Boom: Evidence from Colombia’s peace agreement with the FARC
Juan F. Vargas, Mounu Prem, Elvira Guerra-Cújar Paul Rodríguez-Lesmes
Violent environments are known to affect household fertility choices, demand for health services and health outcomes of newborns. Using administrative data with a difference-in-differences, we […]
The Impact of Civil Conflict on Child Health: Evidence from Colombia
Internal armed conflicts have become more common and more physically destructive since the mid-20th century, with devastating consequences for health and development in low-and middle-income […]
Youth resentment and violence: evidence from Burkina Faso
Augustin Tapsoba, Pascale Combes Motel, Jean-Louis Combes
The paper aims to highlight the impact of youth satisfaction (or dissatisfaction) on the occurrence of violent conflicts in Burkina Faso. This work takes advantage […]
Civil Resistance in the Shadow of the Revolution: Historical Framing in Nicaragua’s Sudden Uprising
Kai Thaler, Eric Mosinger Diana Paz García Charlotte Fowler
Are grievances a necessary condition for civil resistance campaigns? Accumulating political or economic grievances play a key causal role in nearly every extant account of […]
The Spread of COVID-19 in Belgium: a Municipality-Level Analysis
In this contributionI analyse socio-economic and demographic correlates of the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic across Belgian municipalities. I am interested in the onset of […]
Jeffrey R. Bloem, Colette Salemi
What does the threat of and the policy response to COVID-19 mean for inter-group conflict worldwide? In this study, we examine time series trends for […]
The perils of misusing remote sensing data The case of forest cover
Leopoldo Fergusson, Juan F. Vargas, Santiago Saavedra
Research on deforestation has grown exponentially due to the availability of satellite-based measures of forest cover. One of the most popular is Global Forest Change […]
The Diplomatic Burden of Pandemics: The Case of Malaria
Ore Koren, Benjamin E. Bagozzi
This paper seeks to understand the extent of the disruptions to international relations caused by pandemics, focusing on one globally-prevalent example: malaria. We posit that […]
Chile’s Missing Students: Dictatorship, Higher Education and Social Mobility
Mounu Prem, Maria Angélica Bautista Felipe González Luis R. Martínez Pablo Muñoz
Hostile policies towards higher education are a prominent feature of authoritarian regimes. We study the capture of higher education by the military dictatorship of Augusto […]
Losing Hearts & Minds: Aid and Ideology
‘Hearts and minds’ theory contends development aid strengthens community support for counterinsurgents by providing jobs and public goods. Based on field interviews in Kabul, we […]
Targeting humanitarian aid using administrative data: model design and validation
Stephen O’Connell, Onur Altındağ Aytuğ Şaşmaz Zeynep Balcıoğlu§ Paola Cadoni Matilda Jerneck Aimee Kunze Foong
We develop and assess the performance of an econometric prediction model that relies on administrative data held by international agencies to target over $380 million […]
Children of Crisis: The Effects of Economic Shocks on Newborns
Mevlude Akubulut, Seyit Mumin Cilasun Belgi Turan
In this paper, we explore the deep economic crisis experienced by the Turkish economy in 2001 and 2008 as quasi-experiments to causally identify the association […]
Riots and social capital in urban India
Patricia Justino, Jean-Pierre Tranchant, Alia Aghajanian
This paper explores the relationship between household exposure to riots and social capital in urban India using a panel dataset collected by the authors in […]