Working Papers


Violent conflict moderates food security impacts of agricultural asset transfers in Syria: A heterogeneity analysis using machine learning

Dorothee Weiffen,  Ghassan Baliki,  Tilman Brück, 

Agricultural interventions are one of the key policy tools to strengthen the food security of households living in conflict settings. Yet, given the complex nature […]


How Peace Saves Lives: Evidence from Colombia

Mounu Prem,  Juan F. Vargas,  Sergio Perilla, and Miguel E. Purroy

The victimization of civilians and combatants during internal conflicts causes large socioeconomic costs. Unfortunately, it is not clear whether peace negotiations can significantly reduce this […]


Conflict Victimization and Civilian Obedience: Evidence from Colombia

Gustav Agenman, 

In this study, I investigate how conflict victimization influences civilians’ likelihood of (dis)obeying armed actors, a behavioral tendency which I elicit through a lab-in-the field […]


Sending peace home?! The effect of political favoritism on conflict

Kerstin Unfried,  Andreas Kammerlander

Bringing the model by Choi (2014) to a spatial context, we investigate and assess the link between political favoritism and internal conflict. In particular, we […]


(Dis)Trust in the Aftermath of Sexual Violence: Evidence from Sri Lanka

Alina Greiner,  Maximilian Filsinger

Does exposure to sexual violence during conflict affect ethnic group trust post-war? Despite the prevalence of sexual violence, we know surprisingly little about its social […]


Do Refugees with Better Mental Health Better Integrate? Evidence from the Building a New Life in Australia Longitudinal Survey

Hai-Anh Dang,  Trong-Anh Trinh, & Paolo Verme

Hardly any evidence exists on the effects of mental illness on refugee labor outcomes. We offer the first study on this topic in the context […]


Hidden Costs of War: Evidence from Nepal’s Maoist Insurgency

Haikun Zhan, 

This paper uses a unique longitudinal dataset to examine the costly behavioral changes adopted by agricultural households in response to the 1996–2006 Maoist insurgency in […]


Undead Past: What Drives Support for the Secessionist Goal of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) in Nigeria?

Daniel Tuki, 

Although the secessionist conflict in Nigeria’s Eastern Region has persisted for over two decades and become increasingly violent, no study has, to the best of […]


The Effect of Violent Conflict on the Socioeconomic Condition of Households in Nigeria: The Case of Kaduna State

Daniel Tuki, 

The incidence and intensity of violent conflict in Nigeria have been rising steadily since 2016. However, the states across the country are not equally affected. […]


This Is a Man’s World: Crime and Intra-Household Resource Allocation

María Hernandez-de-Benito, 

Exposure to community violence is a pervasive development challenge. I study the effects of violent crime on intra-household resource allocation and bargaining power exploiting the […]


Conflict and Girl Child Marriage: Global Evidence

Caroline Krafft,  Diana Jimena Arango, Amalia Hadas Rubin, and Jocelyn Kelly

Child marriage has lasting negative health, human capital, and welfare consequences. Conflictsettings are characterized by a number of complex changes that can potentially increase the […]


Mobile phone access and insurgent violence: Evidence from a radio wave propagation model in Afghanistan

Robert Gonzalez, 

This paper examines the impact of mobile phone coverage on insurgent violence. In theory, access to coverage can lower violence by increasing the flow of […]


Terrorism and child mortality: Evidence from Africa

Max Schaub,  Daniel Meierrieks

How does terrorism affect child mortality? We use geo-coded data on terrorism and highly spatially disaggregated data on child mortality to study the relationship between […]


Fighting Covid-19 amidst Civil Conflict: Micro-level evidence from Burkina Faso

Philip Verwimp,  Mohammad H. Sepahvand

How does violent conflict affect the spread of Covid-19? In this paper we analyze how violent conflict influences the adoption of preventative measures and infection […]


Medication Against Conflict

Dominic Rohner,  Andrea Berlanda, Matteo Cervallati, Elena Esposito, Dominic Rohner, Uwe Sunde

The consequences of successful public health interventions for social violence and conflict are largely unknown. This paper closes this gap by evaluating the effect of […]


Integrated Militias Can Increase the Risk of Civil War Renewal

Ore Koren,  Bumba Mukherjee

Research on civil war identified multiple reason for why some transitions to peace are more robust than others. However, scholars largely ignored a key determinant […]


Individual exposure to armed conflict and entrepreneurship

Arzu Kibris,  Phillip Nelson

We study the individual level impacts of exposure to armed conflict on entrepreneurial activity.  We introduce new data from a large-N field survey we conducted […]


Victims of electoral violence and their children experience irreversible stunting: The long-term welfare effects of electoral violence

Roxana Gutiérrez-Romero, 

Despite the extensive literature on civil conflict, little is known about the medium- and long-term effects of electoral violence on young children and adolescents. This […]


Armed conflict exposure and trust: Evidence from a natural experiment in Turkey

Arzu Kibris,  Lena Gerling, 

We study the individual-level effects of exposure to internal armed conflict on social capital, focusing on trust in institutions and in social relations. We introduce […]


Information, Anxiety, and Persuasion: Analyzing Return Intentions of Displaced Persons

Jonathan Hall,  James Igoe Walsh,  Onah Peter Thompson

Anxiety influences how people attend to, interpret, and respond to information and  potential threats. How does anxiety influence attempts to persuade? We hypothesize that the  […]