Working Papers


(Dis)Trust in the Aftermath of Sexual Violence: Evidence from Sri Lanka

Alina Greiner,  Maximilian Filsinger

Does exposure to sexual violence during conflict affect ethnic group trust post-war? Despite the prevalence of sexual violence, we know surprisingly little about its social […]


Do Refugees with Better Mental Health Better Integrate? Evidence from the Building a New Life in Australia Longitudinal Survey

Hai-Anh Dang,  Trong-Anh Trinh, & Paolo Verme

Hardly any evidence exists on the effects of mental illness on refugee labor outcomes. We offer the first study on this topic in the context […]


Hidden Costs of War: Evidence from Nepal’s Maoist Insurgency

Haikun Zhan, 

This paper uses a unique longitudinal dataset to examine the costly behavioral changes adopted by agricultural households in response to the 1996–2006 Maoist insurgency in […]


Undead Past: What Drives Support for the Secessionist Goal of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) in Nigeria?

Daniel Tuki, 

Although the secessionist conflict in Nigeria’s Eastern Region has persisted for over two decades and become increasingly violent, no study has, to the best of […]


The Effect of Violent Conflict on the Socioeconomic Condition of Households in Nigeria: The Case of Kaduna State

Daniel Tuki, 

The incidence and intensity of violent conflict in Nigeria have been rising steadily since 2016. However, the states across the country are not equally affected. […]


This Is a Man’s World: Crime and Intra-Household Resource Allocation

María Hernandez-de-Benito, 

Exposure to community violence is a pervasive development challenge. I study the effects of violent crime on intra-household resource allocation and bargaining power exploiting the […]


Conflict and Girl Child Marriage: Global Evidence

Caroline Krafft,  Diana Jimena Arango, Amalia Hadas Rubin, and Jocelyn Kelly

Child marriage has lasting negative health, human capital, and welfare consequences. Conflictsettings are characterized by a number of complex changes that can potentially increase the […]


Mobile phone access and insurgent violence: Evidence from a radio wave propagation model in Afghanistan

Robert Gonzalez, 

This paper examines the impact of mobile phone coverage on insurgent violence. In theory, access to coverage can lower violence by increasing the flow of […]


Terrorism and child mortality: Evidence from Africa

Max Schaub,  Daniel Meierrieks

How does terrorism affect child mortality? We use geo-coded data on terrorism and highly spatially disaggregated data on child mortality to study the relationship between […]


Fighting Covid-19 amidst Civil Conflict: Micro-level evidence from Burkina Faso

Philip Verwimp,  Mohammad H. Sepahvand

How does violent conflict affect the spread of Covid-19? In this paper we analyze how violent conflict influences the adoption of preventative measures and infection […]


Medication Against Conflict

Dominic Rohner,  Andrea Berlanda, Matteo Cervallati, Elena Esposito, Dominic Rohner, Uwe Sunde

The consequences of successful public health interventions for social violence and conflict are largely unknown. This paper closes this gap by evaluating the effect of […]


Integrated Militias Can Increase the Risk of Civil War Renewal

Ore Koren,  Bumba Mukherjee

Research on civil war identified multiple reason for why some transitions to peace are more robust than others. However, scholars largely ignored a key determinant […]


Individual exposure to armed conflict and entrepreneurship

Arzu Kibris,  Phillip Nelson

We study the individual level impacts of exposure to armed conflict on entrepreneurial activity.  We introduce new data from a large-N field survey we conducted […]


Victims of electoral violence and their children experience irreversible stunting: The long-term welfare effects of electoral violence

Roxana Gutiérrez-Romero, 

Despite the extensive literature on civil conflict, little is known about the medium- and long-term effects of electoral violence on young children and adolescents. This […]


Armed conflict exposure and trust: Evidence from a natural experiment in Turkey

Arzu Kibris,  Lena Gerling, 

We study the individual-level effects of exposure to internal armed conflict on social capital, focusing on trust in institutions and in social relations. We introduce […]


Information, Anxiety, and Persuasion: Analyzing Return Intentions of Displaced Persons

Jonathan Hall,  James Igoe Walsh,  Onah Peter Thompson

Anxiety influences how people attend to, interpret, and respond to information and  potential threats. How does anxiety influence attempts to persuade? We hypothesize that the  […]


How Do Gender Norms Shape Education and Domestic Work Outcomes? The Case of Syrian Refugee Adolescents in Jordan

Caroline Krafft,  Ragui Assaad, Isabel Pastoor

Forced displacement has disrupted Syrian refugees’ lives and exposed them to new communities and norms. This paper assesses how gender norms shape the lives of […]


Landmines: The Local Effects of Demining

Mounu Prem,  Juan F. Vargas,  Miguel E. Purroy

Anti-personnel landmines are one of the main causes of civilian victimization in conflict- affected areas and a significant obstacle for post-war reconstruction. Demining campaigns are […]


A ‘bright’ side of war? Armed conflict and female teen marriage in Azerbaijan

Orsola Torrisi, 

Does exposure to armed conflict influence female teen marriage? Despite increasing attention to early marriage, its drivers and consequences, quantitative research on whether teen unions […]


The long echo of war. Early-life exposure to armed conflict and female experiences of intimate partner violence

Orsola Torrisi, 

While there are reasons to expect a link between armed conflict and victimisation in intimate relationships, empirical evidence on the association is scant and rarely […]