What does the population in Niger think about a military government?

HiCN WP 400

Using the Round 9 Afrobarometer survey data collected in the Republic of Niger in 2022, this study examined the attitudes of Nigeriens toward military rule and military intervention conditional upon the democratically elected government being corrupt. The descriptive results showed that Nigeriens generally do not have a strong aversion toward military rule. In fact, 50 percent of them approved of military rule. Moreover, 69 percent of Nigeriens agreed with a statement in support of military intervention when the democratically elected government was corrupt. I also estimated regression models which examined the effect of socioeconomic deprivation on support for military rule and military intervention when the democratically elected government was corrupt. The results showed that socioeconomic deprivation negatively correlated with support for both military rule and military intervention. The negative correlation was particularly strong in the latter case. This suggests that the poor prefer democracy to an authoritarian regime. The regression results also showed that political instability, which I measured using the incidence of violent conflict in the country’s regions, increased the likelihood of supporting both military rule and military intervention.

JEL Classification: Coup, Deprivation, Intervention, Military rule, Niger, Political instability, Poverty

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