Working Papers

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100

Short- and Long-Term Impact of Violence on Education: The Case of Timor Leste

Patricia Justino,  Marinella Leone,  Paola Salardi, 

This paper analyzes the impact of the wave of violence that occurred in Timor Leste in 1999 on education outcomes. We examine the short-term impact […]

099

Violent Conflict and Human Capital Accumulation

Patricia Justino, 

This paper reviews and discusses available empirical research on the impact of violent conflict on the level and access to education of civilian and combatant […]

098

Activity Choices of Internally Displaced Persons and Returnees: Quantitative Survey Evidence from Post-War Northern Uganda

Carlos Bozzoli,  Tilman Brück,  Tony Muhumuza, 

We study the effect of living in an internally displaced people’s (IDP) camp oneconomic activity choices in post war northern Uganda. As the decision to […]

097

Malnutrition, Subsequent Risk of Mortality and Civil War in Burundi

Philip Verwimp, 

The paper investigates the effect of child malnutrition on the risk of mortality in Burundi, a very poor country heavily affected by civil war. We […]

096

Electing Displacement: Political Cleansing in Apartadó, Colombia

Abbey Steele, 

This article highlights a nefarious effect of elections during civil wars by demonstrating that they can facilitate the displacement of civilians. This occurs through two […]

095

War Signals: A Theory of Trade, Trust and Conflict

Dominic Rohner,  Mathias Thoenig Fabrizio Zilibottix

We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is inhabited by two ethnic groups. Inter-ethnic trade […]

094

The 1990-1992 Massacres in Rwanda: A Case of Spatial and Social Engineering?

Philip Verwimp, 

Until now, two main sets of arguments have dominated the debate on the nature of the massacres that were perpetrated in Rwanda before the 1994 […]

093

Weather Shocks, Sweet Potatoes and Peasant Revolts in Historical China

Ruixue Jia, 

Does production technology adoption affect conflict? This paper studies this question with yearly historical data on weather, peasant revolts and the diffusion of sweet potatoes […]

092

Sovereign Risk and Armed Conflict: An Event-study for Colombia

Juan F. Vargas,  Andrés Castañeda

We study the relationship between some of the most important recent events of the Colombian armed conflict and the foreign perception of sovereign risk, as […]

091

The Persistent Colombian Conflict: Subnational Analysis of the Duration of Violence

Juan F. Vargas, 

The growing empirical literature on the analysis of civil war has recently included the study of conflict duration at the cross-country level. This paper presents, […]

090

Who Does What in a Household after Genocide? Evidence from Rwanda

Kati Schindler, 

This paper investigates the determinants of intra-household time allocation in post-war Rwanda. A decade after the 1994 genocide, Rwanda still bears the demographic impact of […]

089

Wars and Child Health: Evidence from the Eritrean-Ethiopian Conflict

Richard Akresh,  Leonardo Lucchetti Harsha Thirumurthy

This is the first paper using household survey data from two countries involved in an international war (Eritrea and Ethiopia) to measure the conflict’s impact […]

088

Conflict Experiences and Expectations on Recovery: Survey Evidence from Northern Uganda

Carlos Bozzoli,  Tilman Brück,  Tony Muhumuza, 

We analyse the role of mass violent conflict in influencing individual expectations. We hypothesise that individuals are likely to report negative expectations if they were […]

087

Perceptions, Expectations, and Entrepreneurship: The Role of Extreme Events

Tilman Brück,  Fernanda Llussá José Tavares

We provide, for the first time, comparative evidence of the impact of various types of extreme events – natural disasters, terrorism, and violent conflicts – […]

086

Conflict, Ideology and Foreign Aid

Adama Bah,  Jean-Louis Arcand Julien Labonne

In this paper, we present a rent-seeking model of conflict, which highlights the role of ideology in determining whether the government or the rebels take […]

085

Weapons, Violence and Personal Security in Cape Town

Kai Thaler, 

Given the high levels of crime and violence in South Africa, there may be a temptation for citizens to arm themselves for protection. Using quantitative […]

084

Empowering IDP with SMS: A Randomized Controlled Trial in Bogotá

Juan F. Vargas,  Mariana Blanco

We carried out a randomized controlled trial in Bogotá, the recipient of Colombia’s highest number of internally displaced people (IDP), to assess whether the use […]

083

Remittances and Labor Supply in Post-Conflict Tajikistan

Patricia Justino,  Olga Shemyakina, 

This paper analyzes the impact of remittances on the labor supply of men and women in post-conflict Tajikistan. We find that on average men and […]

082

Self-Employment and Conflict in Colombia

Carlos Bozzoli,  Tilman Brück,  Nina Wald, 

Many Colombians are confronted with the ongoing conflict which influences their decision making in everyday life, including their behaviour on labour markets. This study focuses […]

081

War and Poverty

Patricia Justino, 

The main objective of this paper is to systematically identify potential channels of transmission linking civil war and poverty that may lead to the persistence […]