Working Papers

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220

Child Mortality and the War on Terror: Afghanistan from 2007 to 2010

Anton Parlow, 

To estimate the impact of armed conflict on child mortality, I use annual variations in violence across provinces in Afghanistan to identify children more affected […]

219

State and Development: A Historical Study of Europe from 0 AD to 2000 AD

Christopher Paik,  S.P. Harish

State presence and longevity have long been associated with growth and development, and yet analyzing their relationship remains challenging as both the length of state […]

218

Inequality, Distributive Beliefs and Protests: A Recent Story from Latin America

Patricia Justino,  Bruno Martorano

This paper analyses the role of perceptions of inequality and distributive beliefs in motivating people to engage in protests. The paper focuses on the case […]

217

Liberation Technology: Mobile Phones and Political Mobilization in Africa

Can digital information and communication technology (ICT) foster mass political mobilization? We use a novel geo-referenced dataset for the entire African continent between 1998 and […]

216

The long-term impact of war on health

Michael George Palmer,  Cuong Nguyen Sophie Mitra Daniel Mont Nora Groce

The toll of warfare is often assessed in the short run and in terms of mortality. Other aspects of health have received limited attention, especially […]

215

Information and Communication Technologies, Wartime Informing, and Insurgent Violence

Andrew Shaver, 

In this piece, I explore the relationship between wartime informing by civilians, information and communication technologies, and the production of violence by insurgents. Using newly […]

214

Take what you can: property rights, contestability and conflict

Thiemo Fetzer,  Samuel Marden

Weak property rights are strongly associated with underdevelopment, low state capacity and civil conflict. In economic models of conflict, outbreaks of violence require two things: […]

213

The Unintended Long-term Consequences of Mao’s Mass Send-Down Movement: Marriage, Social Network, and Happiness

This paper uses the China General Social Survey (CGSS) 2003 to evaluate the long-term consequences of a forced migration, the state’s “send-down” movement (shang shan […]

212

Adverse rainfall shocks and civil war: Myth or reality?

Ricardo Maertens, 

News reports and policy makers frequently link African civil conflicts and wars to agricultural crises caused by droughts. However, empirical studies of the relationship between […]

211

Violence and political outcomes in Ukraine: Evidence from Sloviansk and Kramatorsk

In this paper, we study the effects of violence on political outcomes using a survey of respondents in Sloviansk and Kramatorsk – two cities that […]

210

The Effect of Civilian Casualties on Wartime Informing: Evidence from the Iraq War

Andrew Shaver,  Jacob N. Shapiro

Scholars of civil war and insurgency have long posited that insurgent organizations and their state enemies incur costs for the collateral damage they cause. We […]

209

The Impact of Internal Displacement on Destination Communities: Evidence from the Colombian Conflict

Juan S. Morales, 

More than ten percent of the population of Colombia has been forced to migrate due to civil war. This study employs an enclave IV strategy, […]

208

Violence and Child Health Outcomes: Evidence from Mexican Drug War

Muhammad Nasir, 

An emerging literature finds that early life exposure to conflict has important effects on subsequent physical and cognitive development. While this literature focuses on large-scale […]

207

It’s no Spring Break in Cancun: The Effects of Exposure to Violence on Risk Preferences, Pro-Social Behavior and Mental Health

Muhammad Nasir,  Marc Rockmore,  Chih Ming Tan

Exposure to violence has been found to affect behavioral parameters, mental health and social interactions. The literature focuses on large scale political violence. The effects […]

206

Hard to forget: The long-lasting impact of war on mental health

This paper examines the impact of war trauma experienced during the 1992-1995 Bosnia and Herzegovina conflict on individual mental health. By using a medically-validated depression […]

205

Local Government Proliferation, Diversity, and Conflict

A key feature of decentralization in developing countries has been the creation of new local governments. The implications of this process for violent conflict are […]

204

The Impact of Violence on Individual Risk Preferences: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

This study estimates the impact of Kenya’s post-election violence on individual risk preferences. Because the crisis interrupted a longitudinal survey of more than five thousand […]

203

Return migration and economic outcomes in the conflict context

We explore differences in economic outcomes between return migrant households and non-migrant households using panel data from Burundi, a country which experienced large scale conflict-led […]

202

Masked Development: Exploring the Hidden Benefits of the Zapatista Conflict

Daniel Zaga, 

In 1994, the Zapatistas took up arms claiming for indigenous people rights in Chiapas, Mexico. After 12 days of civil war, the government called for […]

201

Foreign Fighters in Syria and Iraq and the socio-economic environment they faced at home: a comparison of European countries

The contribution looks at the gap in labour market and school outcomes between first and second generation migrants and non-migrants in European countries. It correlates […]