Neil Ferguson, Tatiana Orozco García
An increasing proportion of the world’s poor live in fragile states, and efforts to build economic and social stability increasingly focus on those settings. Fragility […]
Srinivas Goli, Nandeen Bhattacharyya, Shalem Balla, Harchand Ram
This study analyses the adverse impact of different types of conflicts on child mortality and its mechanisms across a large group of countries. Our analysis […]
Climate, conflict, and food Security: A systematic review of household-level evidence (2020–2025)
Tilman Brück, Mahlet Degefu Awoke
Climate and conflict crises increasingly occur together, creating compounded risks for household food security. This review synthesizes evidence from 37 quantitative studies published 2020–2025 on […]
Collective Shocks and Social Preferences: A Global, Subnational Analysis
James Igoe Walsh, Alexander Kustov, Ivan Flores Martinez
While some studies of conflicts, natural disasters, and economic setbacks find these negative collective shocks make people more prosocial, others find they reduce cooperation. These […]
The Nationwide Camp Closure Policy in Iraq and the Welfare of Displaced Populations
After the end of their conflict with the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), the Iraqi government initiated a policy to close all […]
A New Expanded Dataset to Study Refugee Camps in Sub-Saharan Africa 1999–2024
Colette Salemi, Sebastian Anti, Jonathan Rigberg, Karishma Silva, Johannes Hoogeveen
One in five refugees live in camps or camp-like settings, and three-quarters of encamped refugees are in sub-Saharan Africa. No reliable public data has systematically […]
Guns and Gains: Effects of Exposure to Counterinsurgency Operations During School-Age Years
Punarjit Roychowdhury, Sourish Mustafi, Bharti Nandwani
This paper examines the effects of exposure to hard-security counterinsurgency operations during school-age years on human capital and labor market outcomes in India. We exploit […]
Kibrom A. Abay, Halefom Yigzaw Nigus, Martin Paul Jr. Tabe-Ojong
Amid a surge in armed conflicts in Africa, the impact of armed conflicts on social cohesion and potential avenues to rebuild social cohesion in conflict-affected […]
Ghassan Baliki, Wolfgang Stojetz, Tilman Brück, Mekdim D. Regassa, Damir Esenaliev, Milena Tzvetkova, Monika Schreiner
The COVID-19 pandemic caused extensive food insecurity in low-income countries. However, most studies rely on aggregate-level exposure measures, overlooking individual-level heterogeneity and introducing measurement errors […]
Although considerable attention has been given to the growing realignment of many West African countries away from their former colonial ruler, France, and toward Russia—particularly […]
Assessing the impact of violent conflict on attitudes toward military rule in Nigeria
Violent conflict is often assumed to undermine democratic legitimacy and increase public support for authoritarian alternatives. Yet empirical evidence remains limited, particularly in the context […]
Agricultural shocks and long-term conflict risk: Evidence from desert locust swarms
Can transitory economic shocks affect long-term violent conflict risk? This paper studies this question using data on con ict events and desert locust swarm exposure […]
Religion and prejudice: Micro-level evidence from Africa
While scholarship on religious tolerance has grown, little is known about how (non)religious identity shapes prejudice in highly religious societies, particularly in the Global South. […]
Conflict exposure and healthcare perceptions: Micro-level evidence from Africa
Although considerable research has examined the impact of violent conflict on health outcomes in Africa—such as undernutrition, child mortality, and maternal mortality—a significant gap remains […]
Dorothee Weiffen, Ghassan Baliki, Tilman Brück, Jan Elfes
Households living in humanitarian settings face extreme vulnerability to adverse shocks. Cash transfers can reduce this vulnerability and enhance household welfare. However, the potential of […]
The COVID-19 pandemic and intra-household tensions in Africa
Wolfgang Stojetz, Tilman Brück, Mekdim D. Regassa, Anke Hoeffler
This study examines the impact of countermeasures, such as stay-at-home orders and school closures, on stress within households during the COVID-19 pandemic. In a phone […]
Francisca Castro, Tilman Brück, Wolfgang Stojetz, Hadi Jaafar
When refugees flee abroad, they carry the legacy of their traumatic experiences across borders. While there are over 43 million refugees worldwide, the long-term effects […]
Wolfgang Stojetz, Tilman Brück, Carlo Azzarri, Erdgin Mane
This paper provides evidence on the impacts of armed conflict and climate change on individual labor intensity. Based on pooled labor force survey, climate, and […]
The Scar of Civil War: Exposure in (Early) Childhood and School Test Scores as a Teenager
This paper investigates the effect of civil war exposure in (early) childhood on school test scores as a teenager. It uses test scores from the […]
High-Skilled Migration from Myanmar: Responses to Signals of Political and Economic Stabilization
Yashodhan Ghorpade, Muhammad Saad Imtiaz, Theingie Han
In recent years Myanmar has witnessed considerable economic and political instability, leading many young people, particularly the higher-skilled, to consider migrating abroad for improved prospects. […]